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Beyond the Bale : March 2017
MARKET INTELLIGENCE AVERAGE MONTHLY EMI COMPARISON EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE FOR MID AND FINER MICRONS AVERAGE MONTHLY EMI FOR NOVEMBER 2016 – JANUARY 2017 COMPARED WITH PAST 5 YEARS NOVEMBER 2011 – OCTOBER 2016 THE DECADE NOVEMBER 2001 – OCTOBER 2011 EMI $13.67 17um $17.99 18um $17.49 19um $16.41 20um $15.05 21um $14.23 22um $13.89 23um $13.44 24um * 25um $10.72 26um $9.61 28um $6.73 30um $5.79 32um $4.50 MC $11.38 0%102030405060708090100 88 100 97 99 71 100 100 100 100 100 99 The chart opposite provides a snapshot of how well the AWEX monthly Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) and a range of microns have performed for the past three months (November 2016 – January 2017) in Australian dollar terms compared with the previous five years November 2011 to October 2016 (circles) and the decade previous to that, November 2001 – October 2011 (squares). For the past three months, the monthly EMI averaged at $13.67, tracking at the 98th percentile against the previous five-year monthly EMI. The percentile value (98th) indicates that the five-year monthly EMI recorded a price lower than $13.67 for 98% of the time. Or to put it another way, in the previous five years the monthly EMI has recorded a price higher than the current $13.67 (November 2016 – January 2017) for only 2% of the time. While the EMI is tracking at the 98th percentile over the previous five years, it is at the 100th percentile when compared to the decade November 2001 – October 2011. This means the current EMI of $13.67 (November 2016 – January 2017) is higher now than it was for all that decade. The mid and finer microns and Merino Cardings (MC) have performed particularly well recently. For the past three months Merino Cardings averaged at $11.38, operating at the 98th percentile for the previous five years and the 100th percentile for the previous decade. For the same period, 18 micron averaged at a monthly value of $17.49 (100th percentile and 97th percentile respectively), 21 micron averaged at $14.23 (95th percentile and 100th percentile), and 28 micron averaged at $6.73 (36th percentile and 91st percentile). MARKET INTELLIGENCE: FREE VIA SMS In a new initiative, AWI is sending wool prices and market intelligence direct to woolgrowers’ mobile phones. Woolgrowers receive the latest movements in the EMI in a simple text message (see left image), including a link to a full price report that provides more detail about price movements (see right image). If you would like to subscribe to the new free SMS service, either call the AWI Helpline on 1800 070 099 or email the following details to email@example.com 1. Your first name 2. Your last name 3. The mobile phone number to get the SMS 4. Optional information; ideally: (a) your business name; (b) address; (c) email address; (d) AWI shareholder/levy payer number). You can unsubscribe from the service at any time by opening the AWI SMS message and replying the word STOP to the message. MORE INFORMATION www.wool.com/market-intelligence 21 7 36 100 64 91 91 100 *Insufficent data 98 95 94 98 100 92 98 100 78 50 MARKET INTELLIGENCE
In the Shops - March 2017